The CJ Cup is coming back to the states! Well, just for the year due to the COVID-19 pandemic, but hey well take it! Tom Fazio’s beautiful Shadow Creek golf course in Las Vegas gets to make it is official PGA tour this weekend when 78 of the world’s best golfers will compete in a no-cut event for one of the biggest tournaments of the 2020-2021 season so far, the CJ Cup. One of the two bigger tournaments left before the Masters coming up in November, Shadow Creek has that Augusta feel with its longer layout and narrow fairways. The par 72 course plays a lengthy 7,560 yards featuring multiple 200+ yard par 3’s, a bunch of 450-500-yard par 4’s and 2 monster par 5’s. With the no cut a debut of a new course, were going with the gut instead of stats. With that being said, let us dive into my picks!

Since the tour restarted in June, I have been betting basically all PGA tour events besides a few with a 4-17 record on outright winners and a lot of close calls on Sundays including Matt Wolff (26/1) losing in a 3 man playoff just last weekend.

Past winners

  1. Dustin Johnson at Travelers (+2600) 1U to win 26U
  2. Colin Morikawa at Workday Charity Open (+3000) 1.25U to win 37.5U
  3. Colin Morikawa at PGA Championship (+3400) 1.25U to win 42.5U *also had him live +1000 to win 17.5U, 60U winner in total*
  4. Bryson Dechambeau at U.S Open (+3300) 2U to win 66U

My Picks for the CJ Cup

Outright

  1. Collin Morikawa (+2100) 2U to win 42U – I have not been betting my guy recently and it has been making me sad not rooting for him. Morikawa has not been in the best form recently, but I have a feeling he turns it around this weekend. Morikawa is a desert golfer through and through and I love him in a no cut event to really gain some momentum. Good odds for a top 5 golfer in the world also.
  • Brooks Koepka (+2200) 2U to win 44U – 2018 winner of the tournament, Brooks seems to finally be healthy and at 22/1 odds it is too good of a price to pass up on. Koepka needs a good tune up before he takes a crack at his first Masters victory. Koepka tends to play well on Bermuda/Bent grass type courses, and this course layout suits his game well.
  • Matthew Fitzpatrick (+3400) 1.5U to win 51U – Not saying I agree with what he said about Bryson, but any enemy of Bryson’s is a friend of mine. Fitzpatrick has exceled on tougher courses and is coming off T7 at the European Tour’s BMW PGA championship, Fitzy is in good form right now. Fitzpatrick needs to back up his words and I think he has a chance to do it this weekend. Good price for one of the top European’s on the tour.
  • Scottie Scheffler (+4000) 1.5U to win 60U – Big fan of Scottie Scheffler. He is in solid form right now and plays well on longer/narrow courses. Scheffler has also played really well in his last few no cut events as the St. Jude Invitational, BMW Championship, and the Tour Championship. Love the value here for young Scottie to get his first win on the tour.
  • Louis Oosthuizen (+4000) 1.5U to win 60U – Listen, I do not like Louis Oosthuizen, but he is in great form right now. 9 straight cuts made and strong showings at some of the hardest courses in the world especially with his solo 3rd at the U.S Open last month. Oosthuizen plays some of his best golf at the Masters so expect him to like this course this weekend as well. Great value in a small field for a player of Oosthuizen’s caliber.
  • Jason Day (+5000) 1.5U to win 75U – His form is coming along, and the back seems to be holding up well right now. That is a good sign for the former #1 player in the world that hopefully, the tides will turn soon. I am a sucker for a good comeback and I am hoping Day and Spieth can get back to the top of the mountain soon. Love the value here for Day.

Props –

  1. Will there be a hole in one? YES (+200) 3U to win 6U – Listen, I am going off a hunch here. I am not math guy but here is my thought process. There is 4 par 3’s this weekend, 3 of them are 200+ yards and then you get the 17th hole par 3 that Is roughly 150 yards. So, with no cut there will be 1,248 chances at a hole in one and 312 specifically at a 150-yard par 3. A bunch of the best golfers in the world getting 312 chances at a hole in one on a short par 3 that is just a pitching wedge away, I like the chances and at a +200 I think it is a steal.
  • Paul Casey T10 (+340) – Good value here for a tee to green specialist on a long course. His problem has always been his putter so as long as he hits some putts he can be in contention.
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