We are a week away from College Football and I could not be more excited to finally have football back in my life. Not going to lie I got a little crazy with my futures this season so this blog may be very long and very pricey if you plan on tailing these picks. With that being said, I am extremely confident in most if not all these picks and would almost go as far as guarantee a positive outcome from this blog.
No need to sugar coat it so without further ado, I present to you my 160+ Unit College Football Futures Blog!
National Championship Winners
1. Ohio State Buckeyes +600 (2.5U to win 15U)
I am not as high on the Buckeyes as others but lets be honest, their schedule is a joke. There is not a doubt in my mind that Ohio State will march into the CFP with a 3 or 4 Seed and honestly if that winds up being the case than they most likely went 11-1 or 12-0 and Freshman QB C.J Stroud is probably the real deal. Like years prior, The Buckeyes will have a slew of talented wide outs led by studs Chris Olave and Garrett Wilson, a star studded RB group led by standout Master Teague III, and a rock solid defense. Again, don’t necessarily love the Buckeyes this season but I do believe they have the easiest path to the playoff and at +600 odds I will take my chances in a final four.
2. Georgia Bulldogs +700 (2.5U to win 17.5U)
As a Georgia Fan, believe me this is not a homer pick. This Bulldogs team has potential to be one of their best in a long time led by Junior QB J.T Daniels and a Top 5 Defense. Sure, the news of stud WR George Pickens going down with a torn ACL in spring camp hurts but they have a bunch of talent to go around. Former 5 Star TE now WR Arik Gilbert comes in from LSU and is poised to have a monster season alongside a RB Group led by star Zamir White and a bunch of other former 4/5 star RB’s. Georgia is either going 11-1 or 12-0 this season and it all is going to come down to week 1 against #3 Clemson. If they beat Clemson, I would almost guarantee they go 12-0 and play Alabama in the SEC Championship which at that point they probably wouldn’t even need to win to make the playoff. In the case where they lose to Clemson week 1, they will need to run the table and beat Alabama in the SEC Championship. But with that being said, I am not even worried about the first scenario cause I truly believe they take down Clemson week 1 and run the table.
3. Oklahoma Sooners +755 (6.45U to win 48.65U)
This is my favorite of my National Championship futures because like Ohio State, their schedule is a joke and I see them heading into the CFP 13-0 and most likely earning themselves the #1 Seed. Spencer Rattler is that good and I truly believe this is the year Lincoln Riley and his Sooners get it done. That’s it, I don’t really have much else to tell you about the Sooners because Rattler is really the only thing you need to know to be convinced of this team being a title contender.
- Wisconsin Big Ten West +135 (4U to win 5.4U)
Full disclosure, I am not crazy about the Badgers this season but the Big Ten West is a joke. There are two teams that can win this division and the other is the Iowa Hawkeyes, who I am also not high on at all and Wisconsin plays that at home which should all but ensure them the tiebreaker in the standings. I took this back in July so the odds may be a little better than most sites (seeing -120 on my site now) but even at those odds I’d still take this bet.
2. Miami ACC Coastal +130 (3U to win 3.9U)
Like the Big Ten West, there are two teams that can win this division and it’s the Hurricanes and Tar Heels of North Carolina. Miami has a tougher schedule and has to travel to North Carolina when they play the Tar Heels but I like the overall talent on this Miami team more than UNC’s. As you will see later on in this blog, I am putting my all my faith in the hands of QB D’Eriq King and truly believe he has a chance to take this team to the promise land.
3. Oregon PAC-12 North +100 (5U to win 5U)
Another team I am not crazy about but think they easily take this division. Like the other two, there are two teams that can win this division and it is the Ducks and the Huskies of Washington. Washington has the easier schedule and gets to host the Ducks in their matchup with them in November but I really just don’t think it matters because Oregon is way more talented and I wouldn’t be surprised if they are even favored in that matchup.
- Oklahoma Big 12 -150 (7.5U to win 5U)
Like I said, there is probably a 100% Chance Oklahoma will be in the Big 12 Title game and their most likely opponent will be the Cyclones of Iowa State who they should be at least touchdown favorites against. This is a no brainer of a take and if you can get anything -200 or under I’d pull the trigger.
2. Ohio State Big Ten -140 (7U to win 5U)
Again, like Oklahoma I believe there is a 100% the Buckeyes will be in the Big Ten title game and their most likely opponent will either be the Wisconsin Badgers or Iowa Hawkeyes who Ohio State should probably be 14 point favorites against. This bet is as much of a lock as a lock can be and like Oklahoma, if you can get anything under -200 pull the damn trigger.
3. Boise State Mountain West -140 (7U to win 5U)
Just skip the season and give us the Mountain West Title game already cause we already know who it is going to be, The Boise State Broncos vs. The Nevada Wolf Pack. These two will meet in Boise Idaho in early October and depending how that game goes we will most likely figure out what the line will be for the title game. If I had to guess, Boise State will be favored by 5 or 6 points, which makes -140 on the Money Line, seem like a steal.
4. Coastal Carolina Sun Belt +180 (2.5U to win 4.5U)
Another one where we probably know the matchup already as the Sun Belt Title game is most likely going to be Coastal Carolina vs. Louisiana Lafayette. And to be honest, I think Coastal Carolina is far and away a better team than Louisiana Lafayette and wouldn’t be surprised in the slightest if they are favored in that game. Love the value on this one.
5. USC Pac 12 +350 (3U to win 10.5U)
This one is a little tougher because USC has to fend off a few contenders to win the PAC-12 South but I do believe USC is the best team in this conference. USC’s toughest conference game comes against PAC-12 South contender Arizona State on the road in November but to be honest, I think they win that game, as I am not on the Arizona State hype train at all. Listen, If USC does get out of the PAC-12 South you are getting them at insane odds against either a Oregon or Washington team that in my opinion, the Trojans should be favored against.
6. UCF American +400 (2.5U to win 10U)
The American is a really solid conference and though Cincinnati is the favorite, I think UCF has the highest potential out of the contenders in this conference. Led behind standout QB Dillon Gabriel, the Knights offense has legit top 5 upside. Houston, SMU, and Memphis don’t scare me enough to believe that UCF won’t be in the title game against Cincinnati and if all goes according to plan you are getting a +400 ticket on most likely a 5 to 6 point spread at most.
- Spencer Rattler +500 (5U to win 25U)
I honestly just don’t see a scenario when Rattler isn’t in New York for the Heisman ceremony and if he’s there, he most likely won the award. I fully expect Rattler to put up crazy numbers in the explosive Sooner offense and follow the trend of Oklahoma QB’s winning the Heisman (Baker and Kyler).
2. D’Eriq King +2500 (2U to win 50U)
If King can repeat what he did in 2018 at Houston (50 total touchdowns in 11 games), he has a real shot at winning this award especially doing it at a Power 5 school like the Miami Hurricanes. Listen, this is just a straight up value play because I really do think this is Rattlers award to lose but King is easily top 3 for me and at a +2500 long shot I’ll take my chances all day.
3. Matt Corral +3000 (1.5U to win 45U)
Really like the odds on this one as a long shot as well. Corral finally has the keys to Kiffin’s offense and year 1 was a success. Though the Rebel’s only went 5-5 last season, Corral compiled 33 total touchdowns and almost 4,000 yards and something tells me those stats will be even better with another year of seasoning and a 12 game season. If Ole Miss exceeds expectations and wins 9-10 games this year that means Corral was the reason why and in that case, there’s a real good chance he can win this award.
All right, so for these I am going to just give a quick Summary because I have way too many of them and this blog could potentially be 5,000+ words long.
1. Arkansas State Over 3.5 Wins -165 (4.95U to win 3U)
Led by stud Sophomore QB Layne Hatcher, the Red Wolves have a chance to be pretty solid. After winning 4 games last year, I truly think the Red Wolves can win 5 or 6 this year with these being the winnable games (Central Arkansas, @ Tulsa, @ Georgia Southern, @ South Alabama, @ UL Monroe, Georgia State, @ Texas State). I paid the heavy juice of -165 because I don’t really see a scenario where Arkansas State doesn’t win at least 4 games.
2. Baylor Under 5.5 Wins -135 (4.05U to win 3U)
Since Matt Rhule left, the Baylor Bears have been a train wreck. Realistically Baylor wins their 2 non-conference games against Texas State and Texas Southern but there is just no scenario where they win more than 3 Big 12 games. Baylor announced Gerry Bohanon as their starting QB and though that is probably their best option, I am not a fan. I’ll give Baylor wins @ Kanas, and maybe and I mean maybe at home against Texas Tech but other than that there’s just no way this Baylor team wins more than 5 games and honestly I don’t even see them winning 4 games.
3. Nevada Over 7.5 Wins -130 (5.2U to win 4U)
I base a lot of my picks on QB play and boy, do the Wolf Pack have a good one. Junior QB Carson Strong is a stud and potential future first round pick and almost all of his weapons return after 7-2 shortened 2020 season. Looking at their schedule, I see 11 winnable games and realistically at least 9 surefire wins (Idaho State, New Mexico State, Hawaii, UNLV, Air Force, San Jose State, @ Colorado State, @ San Diego State, @ Fresno State) and 2 toss up’s @ Cal and @ Kansas State.
4. BYU Over 6.5 Wins -120 (3.6U to win 3U)
This one is a little tougher because of their schedule, but I really think the Cougars are going to be solid again this year. I have high hopes for Jaren Hall to be the next great BYU QB and besides Dax Miline; the Cougars are returning basically their entire offense. I see at least 7 wins with potential for 11 wins if all goes well. BYU should easily win these games (@ Arizona, USF, @ Utah State, @ Baylor, @ Wazzou, Idaho State, @ Georgia Southern) and winnable games all at home against Virginia, Arizona State, Utah, and Boise State.
5. Texas A&M U 9.5 Wins -120 (6U to win 5U)
This one is a little against the grain but I am just not a fan of the Aggies this year. Sure the defense and RB Isaiah Spiller are great but their QB situation is an absolute mess. Jimbo Fisher named Haynes King the starting QB and honestly I don’t even know if that’s a good or bad thing. Anyways, the Aggies are going to win their fair share of games but we only need 3 losses to hit this bet. As far as losses go these are where I see them, (Alabama, @ LSU, @ Ole Miss) and 2 toss ups (@ Missouri, Auburn). Out of those 5, I see at least 3 losses and potentially more.
6. Buffalo Over 7.5 Wins -115 (3.45U to win 3U)
Though they lost star RB Jarret Patterson to the NFL, I still really like this Buffalo Bulls team this season. I see this Buffalo squad being just as good as last season where they went 6-1 and lost in the MAC Championship. With that being said, I like them to win 9 or 10 games with basically their entire schedule being winnable. I see at least 8 locks (Northern Illinois, Bowling Green, @ Miami Ohio, @ Akron, Western Michigan, @ Old Dominion, Ohio, and Wagner) and 4 toss up’s on their schedule but the toss up’s don’t matter cause I already peg them at 8 wins at minimum.
7. Florida Over 8.5 Wins -155 (4.65U to win 3U)
This one may be a little iffy but I do like the Gators to win 9 games this year despite a tough schedule. If dual threat QB Emory Jones becomes the guy they expect him to be the sky is the limit for this offense despite losing Pitts, Toney, and Grimes as weapons. I see at minimum 8 wins on the Gators schedule (FAU, @ USF, Tennessee, @ Kentucky, Vanderbilt, @ South Carolina, Samford and Florida State) and 4 in conference toss up’s (Alabama, @ LSU, Georgia, @ Missouri). I’ll probably give them the win against Missouri but traveling to LSU is never easy and even though they got lucky and got to host Alabama and Georgia, they will both be tough games to win. All in all, this gator teams has potential to win 10+ games but I’ll peg them at 9 for now.
8. Georgia Tech Under 5.5 Wins -155 (4.65U to win 3U)
This is one of my favorite win totals of the year. Georgia Tech has a good run game but I expect them to be playing from behind a bunch this year and with Jeff Sims under center, I don’t see them winning many games through the air. I see Georgia Tech winning their two non-conference games against Northern Illinois and Kennesaw State but besides that I see 4 maybe 5 wins. I’ll give them a win at Duke to put them at 3 wins but out of their 3 winnable games at home I barely even like them winning once against Boston College, Pittsburgh, and Virginia Tech.
9. Texas Over 7.5 Wins -135 (5.4U to win 4U)
Like Florida, the Longhorns are another team the media thinks will be on the decline. In my opinion the Longhorns will be just fine turning over to the Sarkisian era after the underwhelming Tom Herman era. If Casey Thompson plays as well as he did in the Colorado game last season, than the Longhorns will be just fine, especially paired with stud RB Bijan Robinson who should be a Heisman contender. With all that being said, I see at minimum 7 surefire wins (@Arkansas, Rice, Texas Tech, @ Baylor, Oklahoma State, Kansas, and Kansas State) and 5 toss up’s (Louisiana, @ TCU, Oklahoma, @ Iowa State, @ West Virginia), even though I see them winning at least 2 of those against Louisiana and @ West Virginia.
10. Arkansas Under 5.5 Wins -125 (3.75U to win 3U)
Going to make this short and sweet. I am not a fan of the Razorbacks at all, especially their QB K.J Jefferson. I see the Razorbacks winning 3, maybe 4 games. I give them 3 lock’s (Rice, Georgia Southern, Arkansas Pine Bluff) and maybe 2 wins at home against Mississippi State and Auburn. The other 7 games on their schedule, I give them almost no chance at winning any of them so under 5.5 is in the clear.
11. Notre Dame Over 8.5 Wins -140 (4.2U to win 3U)
This one probably seems a little crazy but I think Notre Dame is still very good even after turning it over to Wisconsin transfer Jack Coan at QB after 3 terrific years of Ian Book. I see 8 surefire wins for the Fighting Irish (@Florida State, Toledo, Purdue, @Virginia Tech, Navy, @ Virginia, Georgia Tech, @ Stanford), and 4 toss up’s where they should at least win one of them because they get to host 3 of the 4 (@ Wisconsin, Cincinnati, UNC, and USC).
12. Tennessee Over 6.5 Wins +135 (3U to win 4.05U)
This one may be one of my least favorite win totals of the year but I really think the Volunteers get it done because of their schedule. I really like the hiring of Josh Heupel as head coach and getting QB Hendon Hooker from VT. I have a feeling this Tennessee offense can be one of its strongest groups in years under Heupel and think they are going to be better than people expect. I see 5 locks on their schedule in (Bowling Green, Tennessee Tech, South Carolina, South Alabama and Vanderbilt) and 4 toss up’s in which I really do think they win two of them (Pittsburgh, @ Kentucky, Ole Miss, and @ Missouri).
13. Texas Tech Over 4.5 Wins -155 (4.65U to win 3U)
I actually like this Texas Tech team a lot this season. Oregon transfer QB Tyler Shough came in and won the starting job and let me tell you, this kid can ball. I see 5 locks on their schedule with like 4 toss ups (neutral site against Houston, @ West Virginia, TCU, Oklahoma State), but I truly do believe they have 5 wins under their belt for sure in (SF Austin, FIU, @ Kansas, Kansas State, and @ Baylor).
14. Missouri Over 7.5 Wins +105 (3U to win 3.15U)
This one is a total wild card. I can see Missouri winning anywhere from 7 to 11 games, and their schedule sets them up good as they host two of their biggest games of the season. I see 6 locks (Central Michigan, SE Missouri State, North Texas, @ Vanderbilt, South Carolina, and @ Arkansas) and 5 toss up’s/winnable games (@ Kentucky, @ Boston College, Tennessee, Florida, and Texas A&M). I like the Tigers to win two of those games and wouldn’t be surprised in the slightest if this is a 9-win team this year.
15. LSU Over 8.5 Wins -110 (4.4U to win 4U)
People may be against this one as well with the news of Myles Brennan going down but I am a big fan of backup QB Max Johnson. Everyone knows Death Valley is one of the hardest places to play so a lot of their tough home matchups are winnable. I like 7 sure thing wins (McNeese, Central Michigan, @ Mississippi State, Auburn, @ Kentucky, Arkansas, UL Monroe) and 4 winnable games (Florida, Texas A&M, @ UCLA, @ Ole Miss). I personally like them to beat Texas A&M and UCLA and wouldn’t be surprised in the slightest if this team wins 10 games this year.
16. Virginia Tech Under 7.5 Wins -170 (3.4U to win 2U)
I am not a fan of this Virginia Tech team and it starts at Quarterback with Braxton Burmeister. That being said, they do have a fairly easy schedule but I just don’t see them winning more than 7 games. I like them to lose these games (North Carolina, @ West Virginia, Notre Dame, @ Boston College, Pittsburgh, @ Miami and @ Virginia), maybe they win 2 of those 7 but even then that’s still only 7 wins which is a winner in my book.
17. Miami Over 9 Wins +100 (3U to win 3U)
At worst this team goes 9-3, but I think the Hurricanes are too talented to not win 10 games especially with D’Eriq King at Quarterback. Listen, the Hurricanes are probably not winning week 1 against Alabama but other than that I like them to win at least 10 games. I’ll peg them another loss against North Carolina on the road but other than that I don’t see another loss on their schedule, and if I do Its on the road against Pittsburgh which would put them at 9-3 at the worst. I hate pushes on future bets, but I’ll take my chances.
18. Coastal Carolina Over 10 Wins -120 (3.6U to win 3U)
Honestly, I wouldn’t be surprised if the Chanticleers go 12-0; their schedule is that easy and Grayson McCall is that good. At worst they go 10-2 but I personally think they go 11-1. The Chanticleers are going to win at minimum 10 games but I’ll give these two as their two toss up’s (@ Buffalo, @ Appalachian State). I don’t see them losing both of those but like I said, at worst this bet is a push but I think this may be as clear as a lock as they come with future bets.
19. SMU Over 6.5 Wins -120 (4.8U to win 4U)
SMU will always have a good offense and I think they will be pretty solid this year with Oklahoma transfer Tanner Mordecai coming in to play Quarterback for the Mustangs. I see 6 locks (Abilene Christian, North Texas, South Florida, @ Navy, Tulane, Tulsa) and 6 winnable games that they just need to win one out of (@Louisiana Tech, @ TCU, UCF, @ Memphis, @ Cincinnati, @ Houston). I think they at least win one of those games but wouldn’t be surprised if they win two of those and end up 8-4.
20. Memphis Over 7.5 Wins -140 (4.2U to win 3U)
I like the move of bringing in Arizona transfer Grant Gunnell at QB as I’ve always been a fan of his even those the Arizona system did not fit him. He will benefit greatly in Memphis’s system as big-armed QB’s Paxton Lynch and Brady White did. I personally see 9 wins (Nicholls, @ Arkansas State, Mississippi State, UTSA, @ Temple, @ Tulsa, Navy, East Carolina, Tulane) and even then they can easily beat Houston on the road and SMU at home. At worst they go 8-4 but again, I think this future bet is a lock.
21. Michigan Over 7.5 Wins -130 (3.9U to win 3U)
I honestly don’t love this as much as others but still think it’s a solid bet. Michigan should be solid again and though I think they should have gone with Alan Bowman at QB, the media is hyping up Cade McNamara so I’ll jump on board as well. I like 6-7 wins (Western Michigan, North Illinois, Rutgers, @ Nebraska, Northwestern, @ Michigan State, @ Maryland) and 5 toss ups (@ Wisconsin, Indiana, @ Penn State, Ohio State, and Washington). I honestly think they win 8 or 9 games but well see.
22. Washington Over 8.5 Wins -155 (6.2U to win 4U)
Washington’s defense is legit and QB Dylan Morris should be really solid. Anyway, their schedule matches up very well where I see them winning at minimum 9 games (Montana, Arkansas State, @ Oregon State, California, @ Arizona, @ Stanford, Washington State, @ Colorado, UCLA) with the other 3 being very winnable as well (@ Michigan, Oregon, Arizona State)
23. USC Over 8.5 Wins -120 (4.5U to win 3.75U)
I love Kedon Slovis and really think the Trojans win the Pac-12. I like them to win at minimum 10 games (San Jose State, Stanford, @ Washington State, Oregon State, @ Colorado, Arizona, BYU, UCLA, @ California, and Utah) and 2 winnable games (@ Notre Dame, @ Arizona State). Regardless I see them winning 10 games at the least and if worse comes to worse they win 9 games.
24. Iowa State Over 9.5 Wins +100 (4U to win 4U)
Everyone is high on Iowa State as they should be, I personally am not but I still see them winning at least 10 games. QB Brock Purdy and RB Breece Hall might be one of the best QB/RB Duo’s in the nation and their defense is legit. The only game I see them losing for sure is on the road against Oklahoma and other than that their schedule is kind of a cakewalk. Their 4 hardest games beside that are all at home against (TCU, Texas, Oklahoma State, and Iowa) and at worst I see them losing one of those games to finish at 10-2.
25. Kent State Over 5.5 Wins -105 (3.15U to win 3U)
Though the Golden Flashes have a tough non conference schedule, Dustin Crum is the best QB in the MAC and I think they have a real shot at winning this conference. I see at least 7 wins (Miami Ohio, @ Akron, Northern Illinois, @ Western Michigan, @ Central Michigan, Bowling Green, VMI) and think they have a chance of winning these games as well (@ Maryland, Buffalo, @ Ohio). Either way this team wins at least 6 games and you can put that in the bag.